Conspiracy Test Game Signups

[Sillyman]

So uh... Conspiracy. It's a bit like mafia, but it's different enough that I think it would work better in its own series. Here's how it works:

There is a chance, proportional to the number of players (because of a probability argument I won't get into), that there is a conspiracy. If there is a conspiracy, all but one of the players is in on it, and the members of the conspiracy know who each other are. They can privately communicate with each other, and their goal is to make the innocent think there is no conspiracy.

If there is no conspiracy, all the players are "innocents". Innocents only know that they are not part of a conspiracy, and their goal is to correctly determine whether or not there is one.

After roles are distributed, there will be one week of discussion, then the innocent(s) PM me with what they think is the right answer.

Go ahead and sign up if you want to play. If this game goes well, I'll post host signups and try to make this an official game of Hamumu. If not, no big loss.

THEM:
Connor S.
AtkinsSJ
Mr. Onion
WackieWatty
CheeseLord
Regeneratorizer
SpaceManiac
Coolguy
BunnyBot 5000
Julian
Redbone
Varkarrus: It's a very ineffective conspiracy, because I know about it.
Roland
Kerma
Blackmyth

Sufficient players for game start. Signups close on Monday... but keep signing up, the game can hold an infinite number of people.

Signups are now closed.

[Connor S.]

meh, ill give it a try. But I WOULD like to see what this probability argument IS. perhaps send me a PM or something.

[Sillyman]

Oh alright:

To the best of his knowledge, this modification was originally discovered by the user Pie_is_good. The game of conspiracy as it is commonly played is, in fact, unbalanced - a rational innocent will always guess that there is no conspiracy. There is a full 1/2 chance that a person will be an innocent and the game will be not contain a conspiracy, but there is only a 1/6 chance that a person will be an innocent and the game will contain a conspiracy. This means that, given the knowledge that a person is an innocent, it is three times more likely that the person is an innocent under no conspiracy than an innocent under a conspiracy. The way to remedy this problem is to simply modify the weighting - if there is a 3/4 chance of a conspiracy and a 1/4 chance of no conspiracy, the odds of being an innocent under a conspiracy and the odds of being an innocent not under a conspiracy are both 1/4. As this game can easily be modified to be played with more than 3 people, the odds of a conspiracy in an N player game should always be (N)/(N+1), and the odds of no conspiracy should be (1)/(N+1).

[AtkinsSJ]

/me joins.

After all, I am a not conspiracy. So there's no reason for me not to.

[Mr.Onion]

I join.

[WackieWatty]

I would like to join, too.

It sounds like an imaginative concept, and hopefully some interesting conversation will come up.

[CheeseLord]

I'm in, of course.

[regeneratorizer]

This sounds interesting. Meh, I'm in.

[SpaceManiac]

Sure!

[Coolguy]

Alright, I'll join, since everybody's already in a conspiracy against me. :p

[BunnyBot 5000]

me wants to play!

[Julian]

join.....

[Redbone]

/me joins

[varkarrus]

Hah sillyman! All of these people signing up are in a conspiracy against YOU! XD!

[Roland]

I join!

[Kerma]

Sign.... Up...

[blackmyth]

In. Congratulations, you found this message. You win absolutely nothing.